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Polymarket · on-demand contract read

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Venue metadata read Oct 16, 2026, 05:31 UTC

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This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.

YES order book

Observed midpoint

Book received 2026-10-16 05:31:07.921 UTC

0.95%YES midpoint · fixed at this read
Book identity & receipt
Best YES bid / ask
0.9% / 1%
Provider timestamp (raw)
1792128644752
YES token
35272507273162958827997790327967872292415567859334925862043618606081750011897
Book digest
4904b60ebc8300f68af82ec4bf190c8a2c25fa658925302232cd5a581dc5e747

Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.

No source review for this market

The captured venue conditions below define this read. Start with these checks before drawing your own conclusion.

  • Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
  • Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
  • Read a current timestamped observation before comparing your estimate with the market.
  • Add evidence for your own assessment. This venue context is not an independent source review.

One-time source collection

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Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.

Price for your size

Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.

An explicit read only. Changing the size does not create an order or start background collection.

Venue-provided conditions

What defines this contract

Description & declared source

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Separate resolution rules
No usable separate rules supplied
Declared resolution source
Not supplied
Scheduled end
2028-11-08 04:59:00 UTC
Outcomes
Yes / No
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 05:25:06.404265 UTC

The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.

Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.

Conditions history

Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.

    Exact contract & metadata receipt
    Canonical market ID
    polymarket:condition-sha256:caaa43f29b8f24a29125d2dd7201df8802554e8169492550696e37022a06fc37
    Condition ID
    0xe29b33ef5bf351c8a22bfd79f8b58e62649d54ceee6f9735387cef79f52fecae
    Metadata read at
    2026-10-16 05:31:07.757 UTC
    Metadata digest
    0c7a056a62464dfa76dac5bd71784e2b5211b7068406e106f8629122768d4ab9

    The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.