Skip to event
howsure
Developers
My work

AZ-01 House Election Winner

Details
Open venueConditions & coverage

Roster checked 2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC

Outcome history

0 lines · 8 event outcomes · Polymarket YES prices · 5-minute sampling

Choose outcomes

Show or hide available lines. Outcomes without history are listed with their data status.

0 of 8 histories checked…

Reading Polymarket history for the event’s exact YES tokens.

Sources for this outcome

Fixed review · separate from price

No published source review is retained for this exact outcome at the event capture time. Use Sources in the contract reading to inspect available evidence; another outcome’s review is not substituted.

My saved updates for this event
All contract conditions & event coverage 8 outcomes

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise ide…

Full venue event description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Venue scheduled ends · 2 dates
  • 6 contracts
  • 2 contracts

Dates supplied by the venue. An end date is not confirmation of a result or settlement.

8Contracts in the venue roster
1In HowSure’s current catalog
—Two-sided quotes in the retained snapshot
No event capture yetFollow to start daily event snapshots

1 of 8 contracts have a retained midpoint observation. 1 currently fresh.

Loading your saved research…

About coverage & following

Each row is a separate contract with its own conditions. Following saves an event snapshot now and requests a daily refresh for My Brief. History begins with the first saved capture; these are daily observations, not continuous collection.

Prices are separate YES midpoints, not executable quotes or a normalized event distribution. They can come from different observation times. No price is inferred from another outcome.

Event outcomes

8 of 8 contracts · open a contract for its conditions and cost

Jay Feely (R)

Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?

Collected catalog midpoint · fresh · 2026-10-24 18:24:18.254 UTC

17.5%YES midpoint
Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Declared resolution source
https://www.fec.gov/
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-24 18:20:39.071638 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC
Condition ID
0x680a8d22cfe66bedefbc517a3640921b3164afe28f66af6afea4ce6feb73c0be

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Amish Shah (D)

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Declared resolution source
https://www.fec.gov/
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-24 18:20:39.071638 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC
Condition ID
0x0eda21c8b5651dba9fd69aad361e9d01481965e94241ac438486a16dab181344

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Other

Will another party win the AZ-01 House seat?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 00:00:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-07-08 15:21:08.596558 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC
Condition ID
0xdc1be3816ce602c8bd5d8984d801f5798b5b5743957808ffe0ccb561bb4dce88

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

A

Will A win the AZ-01 House seat?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 00:00:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-07-08 15:21:09.135822 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC
Condition ID
0x59c1469044c952a9f9142e96e24e7d0916ce89b18fb6f1e2e47431633dc75b36

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

B

Will B win the AZ-01 House seat?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 00:00:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-07-08 15:21:09.636241 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC
Condition ID
0xf14a9c37e39b4aacd359d9da9fd1ead6f0546da5220e38d4579f977bad0e38d2

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

C

Will C win the AZ-01 House seat?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 00:00:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-07-08 15:21:09.503801 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC
Condition ID
0xe56af4bab8b44f0e440662674a1b7695678a69c0a2157f61df8f05e341f0ddd1

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

D

Will D win the AZ-01 House seat?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 00:00:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-07-08 15:21:09.871637 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC
Condition ID
0xe1a8ce7e924aad309e1bb77798deee5797fd90e1a14dad3918f57b2852e5a84c

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

E

Will E win the AZ-01 House seat?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 00:00:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-07-08 15:21:08.831218 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-24 18:24:35.401 UTC
Condition ID
0x59af7e6ccdb532640cba778d57247f298f42b0ba4d94e09f6c4491630aea7f66

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.