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How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

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Roster checked 2026-10-31 23:22:46.746 UTC

Outcome history

0 lines · 4 event outcomes · Polymarket YES prices · 5-minute sampling

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All contract conditions & event coverage 4 outcomes

This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an indivi…

Full venue event description

This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue scheduled ends · 2 dates
  • 1 contract
  • 3 contracts

Dates supplied by the venue. An end date is not confirmation of a result or settlement.

4Contracts in the venue roster
1In HowSure’s current catalog
—Two-sided quotes in the retained snapshot
No event capture yetFollow to start daily event snapshots

1 of 4 contracts have a retained midpoint observation. 1 currently fresh.

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Each row is a separate contract with its own conditions. Following saves an event snapshot now and requests a daily refresh for My Brief. History begins with the first saved capture; these are daily observations, not continuous collection.

Prices are separate YES midpoints, not executable quotes or a normalized event distribution. They can come from different observation times. No price is inferred from another outcome.

Event outcomes

4 of 4 contracts · open a contract for its conditions and cost

3

Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Collected catalog midpoint · fresh · 2026-10-31 23:22:45.005 UTC

10.5%YES midpoint
Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2028-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-31 23:22:15.054745 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-31 23:22:46.746 UTC
Condition ID
0x081b4d975e0be9953ad24fc3bb5a7fcab98c9306cc02fe5d1fbc1feb9df00a04

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

1

Will there be one UK Prime Minister by end of 2027?

Venue reports closed

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2027-12-31 23:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-07-20 15:46:15.737428 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-31 23:22:46.746 UTC
Condition ID
0x91b1d78772272c69e7800d575f176974c0eae17494012d1242152d90d551f54f

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

2

Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2028-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-31 23:22:15.054745 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-31 23:22:46.746 UTC
Condition ID
0xbb18b73a2afd30f818a2892a6b9c1b8398a7fb75c72a54134bfe2acec10ed472

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

4+

Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution. To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2028-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-31 23:08:14.551861 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-31 23:22:46.746 UTC
Condition ID
0x8a7a58d9f3b0375887430193bfafff47368ab455a6f1df9404d4748fde31e9f3

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.