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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

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Roster checked 2026-10-20 14:13:55.913 UTC

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolv…

Full venue event description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue scheduled ends · 1 date
  • 1 contract

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1Contracts in the venue roster
1In HowSure’s current catalog
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Event outcomes

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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Collected catalog midpoint · fresh · 2026-10-20 14:13:32.793 UTC

4.95%YES midpoint
Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-20 14:12:47.063708 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-20 14:13:55.913 UTC
Condition ID
0x9ed2a24391123c685db5c48ea043ee9bd714a144be4a9a0c48d146d521cf9f93

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.