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OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

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Roster checked 2026-10-21 21:49:18.709 UTC

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All contract conditions & event coverage 3 outcomes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their of…

Full venue event description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue scheduled ends · 3 dates
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3Contracts in the venue roster
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Each row is a separate contract with its own conditions. Following saves an event snapshot now and requests a daily refresh for My Brief. History begins with the first saved capture; these are daily observations, not continuous collection.

Prices are separate YES midpoints, not executable quotes or a normalized event distribution. They can come from different observation times. No price is inferred from another outcome.

Event outcomes

3 of 3 contracts · open a contract for its conditions and cost

December 31, 2027

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

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Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2028-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-21 21:44:57.505101 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-21 21:49:18.709 UTC
Condition ID
0x772c4295fd857463eb407023fa2c7ccfcd4293b3deb1c4beb901ec4987928203

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

December 31, 2028

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2029-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-21 21:44:57.505101 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-21 21:49:18.709 UTC
Condition ID
0x7057b4656e893ea59788c4fafa58bff19e8429f2c92d3a1ae613bd1d4aa90ef3

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

December 31, 2029

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Retained observation toolsInspect exact contract
Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2030-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-21 21:44:57.505101 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-21 21:49:18.709 UTC
Condition ID
0x0399d8fefe701087fe01257eb7efcc2530b86a7b1571bea87beb9da0a3e2bc73

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.