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Plague pandemic in 2026?

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Roster checked 2026-10-18 09:28:52.385 UTC

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An e…

Full venue event description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Plague pandemic in 2026?

Collected catalog midpoint · fresh · 2026-10-18 09:28:23.036 UTC

1.9%YES midpoint
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Venue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-18 09:23:13.703385 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-18 09:28:52.385 UTC
Condition ID
0x9b5ff439175bd0bd854e0f7ea3a9c370ca9316d46c016d879b2d702300a84764

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.