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Polymarket · complete supplied event roster

Texas Senate Election Winner

Composition checked 2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC · 13 contracts

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Outcome history

0 lines · 13 event outcomes · separate YES midpoints

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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens,…

Full venue event description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Venue scheduled ends · 1 date
  • 13 contracts

Dates supplied by the venue. An end date is not confirmation of a result or settlement.

13Contracts in the venue roster
2In HowSure’s current catalog
—Two-sided quotes in the retained snapshot
No event capture yetFollow to start daily event snapshots

2 of 13 contracts have a displayed price observation. 2 currently fresh.

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Each row is a separate contract with its own conditions. Following saves an event snapshot now and requests a daily refresh for My Brief. History begins with the first saved capture; these are daily observations, not continuous collection.

Prices are separate YES midpoints, not executable quotes or a normalized event distribution. They can come from different observation times. No price is inferred from another outcome.

Event outcomes

13 of 13 contracts · open a contract for its conditions and cost

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James Talarico (D)

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Collected catalog midpoint · fresh · 2026-10-16 08:24:04.765 UTC

62.5%YES midpoint
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 08:19:08.477033 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x34918035a590555ba1fb1d6a019d766ab6e557d63e7f3140b63b4550eee7f417

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Ken Paxton (R)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Collected catalog midpoint · fresh · 2026-10-16 08:24:04.765 UTC

37.5%YES midpoint
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 08:19:08.477033 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person A

Will Person A win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:41:59.140038 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x272b2f7ed8e43c047415da1e7fe195336fdb6d2404c143d2edfde9983d0056fd

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person B

Will Person B win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:00.571664 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x973e36e4a2c4bbf9dea5e527922a10721223b8d533affa960bf0b06862b69035

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person C

Will Person C win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:01.981332 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x67f4550910a684de321a635a4a4d54e1ef5c0be612a9c59db77fdd4939ea3dea

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person D

Will Person D win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:03.399489 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x9c79b6a7e04152e6b0fe333fc02fb2f3bec37e22a69da760e17ac665c2df2de3

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person E

Will Person E win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:04.790785 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x8ac0361f2473ab00fc3f58c1921e8869073947ef2302b690b17820ffd58739da

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person F

Will Person F win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:06.340416 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0xb301b62a05ff2d2f72e2b0eec08d57750c42b9bce31826a995549d334f997992

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person G

Will Person G win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:07.744244 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x570e6933eacddd563e894dcb1d68b5e62039fcc1783e0082f972d08ca1dc9d89

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person H

Will Person H win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:09.158805 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0xf35b231d5544c560c0ebc2bdfd6229defa83fa6764088c1bb2ff1edb94126a85

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person I

Will Person I win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:10.56733 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x3d00b2e83fc9ecb3b73c8909ea26e37b888a16fc61a9fbf2b9804eea52e25f13

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Person J

Will Person J win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:11.968967 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0xc9588c74c2e714306045b8f4af3153ad1653b8742e7431d592815fe1d6d75448

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Other

Will a candidate not listed above win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Venue reports inactive

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-09-30 21:42:13.360686 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 08:24:19.063 UTC
Condition ID
0x6d4202082cc318a7a655e2f371784321f8a67cd29904daddc8cd66edf749e643

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.