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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Composition checked 2026-10-16 11:57:57.513 UTC · 4 contracts

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Outcome history

0 lines · 4 event outcomes · separate YES midpoints

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The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf

Venue scheduled ends · 1 date
  • 4 contracts

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4Contracts in the venue roster
2In HowSure’s current catalog
—Two-sided quotes in the retained snapshot
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Each row is a separate contract with its own conditions. Following saves an event snapshot now and requests a daily refresh for My Brief. History begins with the first saved capture; these are daily observations, not continuous collection.

Prices are separate YES midpoints, not executable quotes or a normalized event distribution. They can come from different observation times. No price is inferred from another outcome.

Event outcomes

4 of 4 contracts · open a contract for its conditions and cost

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Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate

Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Collected catalog midpoint · fresh · 2026-10-16 11:57:36.049 UTC

3.35%YES midpoint
Conditions & source details

Venue description

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 11:53:05.600665 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 11:57:57.513 UTC
Condition ID
0xd770bb9e01de3d673249a4371896024643df1b7a34a292c4521405a0ee78643f

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate

Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Collected catalog midpoint · fresh · 2026-10-16 11:57:36.049 UTC

4.35%YES midpoint
Conditions & source details

Venue description

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 11:53:05.600665 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 11:57:57.513 UTC
Condition ID
0x45948551bc1850546ac61dd34699956b81244d5f733d9ad5d75f43442a58214e

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate

Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 11:53:05.600665 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 11:57:57.513 UTC
Condition ID
0xb2afaf375208490fbfbb21aa5f1a9fcd35838b2ff747fde0ffc26099f644b6f3

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate

Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Not collected · Not supplied

—YES midpoint unavailable

No matching book observation was retained for this contract.

Inspect exact contractVenue contract Outcomes: Yes / No
Conditions & source details

Venue description

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2026-11-04 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 11:53:05.600665 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 11:57:57.513 UTC
Condition ID
0x4447dc6ab61c50f386cbc6541e39672f520d6496dce2ce3df4df5aa8da6bba57

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.