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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Composition checked 2026-10-16 11:47:41.061 UTC · 1 contracts

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0 lines · 1 event outcomes · separate YES midpoints

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United St…

Full venue event description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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Prices are separate YES midpoints, not executable quotes or a normalized event distribution. They can come from different observation times. No price is inferred from another outcome.

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Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

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Conditions & source details

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Declared resolution source
Not supplied for this contract
Scheduled end
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Venue metadata updated
2026-10-16 11:45:05.819216 UTC
Metadata fetched
2026-10-16 11:47:41.061 UTC
Condition ID
0x80ebf0a88a44bf737d4047b3accd7108285c69b84257e5c684bdc4c715c81139

Venue descriptions and declared sources are not independent verification or confirmation of settlement. Retained book details belong to the event capture; the displayed price may come from a newer catalog observation. Book receipt time is distinct from the provider timestamp.