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Polymarket · on-demand contract read
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Contract tools
This reads one exact contract on demand. It does not add it to continuous collection, start a price history or create an independently verified Check. Reads may be reused for up to 30 seconds; the recorded times stay unchanged.
YES order book
Observed midpoint
Book identity & receipt
- Best YES bid / ask
- 70% / 71%
- Provider timestamp (raw)
- 1792117658025
- YES token
111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748- Book digest
baece8d0e37c48e420c87b6c4cf464caa8bfc71e65124c269a121643ecc04053
Midpoint is calculated only from a valid two-sided YES book. It is not an executable quote, a forecast, or evidence of settlement.
October Fed decision: the calendar and the upper bound
The Federal Reserve calendar schedules the October 2026 FOMC meeting for October 27–28.
Limited to the reviewed claims. Event outcome, settlement and cause of a price move are not established.
Reviewed
Open this check versionOne-time source collection
Inspect the evidence behind the contract
Collect exact source passages and export them with this contract’s identity. No sign-in required.
Recognized complete terms receive a rule-based reading, including supported Fed, GDP, Core PCE/Core CPI monthly and Bitcoin threshold contracts. Election pair readings are available in Compare. Standard collection reads the named Federal Reserve calendar, BEA GDP overview or the fixed PCE overview for recognized Core PCE terms. The PCE overview is context; the exact monthly figure still needs its release. The optional scope adds the exact official Fed decision, GDP release or selected PCE/CPI monthly release when available. Core CPI collection retains terms only until you explicitly request BLS release evidence. A candle query plan does not fetch candles. Other contracts retain their venue text and explain what is missing.
Price for your size
Read YES and NO depth, then estimate buying or selling a number of shares.
Venue-provided conditions
What defines this contract
Description & declared source
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
- Separate resolution rules
- No usable separate rules supplied
- Declared resolution source
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
- Scheduled end
- 2026-10-29 03:59:00 UTC
- Outcomes
- Yes / No
- Venue metadata updated
- 2026-10-16 02:25:08.445655 UTC
The text and source come from the venue. A separate reviewed Check applies only to its explicitly retained claims and context. Scheduled end, closed and inactive flags do not establish final settlement.
Retained conditions history, when available, comes from accepted HowSure catalog observations. This on-demand read is not added to that history.
Conditions history
Versions observed in accepted catalog snapshots. These times do not establish when the venue changed its rules. Earlier history and changes between observations are unknown.
Exact contract & metadata receipt
- Canonical market ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:cd22800194b2bc38a096e67277f21567ed44b0cd2b746df9d551b2844cc3c781- Condition ID
0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3- Metadata read at
- 2026-10-16 02:27:42.971 UTC
- Metadata digest
a1c55c05006f0a3b26e12e81f2ecdc9ceca6a6a88e6d330e0da4b7855cb70ec7
The digest identifies returned content, not its accuracy. Export this read to retain it; opening this route later may return a newer observation.