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Price outcomes / Hyperliquid HIP-4

xyz:MU · threshold 932 · 2026-10-16 13:35 UTC

Open analysis This exact market · latest available observation

Captured YES price

19.1085%

Market-implied probability. The equivalent YES price in cents is shown in Analysis.

Observed at

Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:34:01.984 UTC

Reported 24h changeNot recorded

Updates on request

A recorded market price, not a HowSure forecast or an executable quote. Freshness describes its age, not its accuracy.

Read it in context

No closing time is recorded. The captured lifecycle is “active”; that flag does not establish a deadline or a final outcome.

Venue description is available; separate resolution rules were not supplied. The venue text and deciding authority have not been independently checked by HowSure.

Not supplied: 24-hour change, 24-hour volume, liquidity, closing time, separate resolution rules field. These gaps are not filled with estimates.

What a market price can tell you
Market conditions & captured source

Venue description

Hyperliquid HIP-4 · mainnet · outcome 12892 · quote USDC. Venue label: template:binaryPrice. perp: xyz:MU priceDescription: 1-minute candle seconds: 300 threshold: 932 time: 20261016-1335 Recorded venue metadata. Settlement conditions have not been independently reviewed. A scheduled observation or resolution deadline is not a confirmed settlement. YES and NO share liquidity; only the YES order book is sampled. Midpoint is a quote, not a forecast from HowSure.

Separate resolution rules

No separate resolution-rules field was supplied. The venue description above may contain resolution conditions; verify their complete current wording at the venue.

Open the captured venue/source URL ↗

The HIP-4 link opens the venue application; a contract-specific source URL is not supplied. A source link may be the venue’s market page. It does not prove the deciding authority. Verify the complete rules and that authority independently; HowSure has not verified or adjudicated the outcome.

Recorded metrics & what to check next
24h source volume
Not available
Source liquidity
Not available
Closing time
Not recorded
Lifecycle in source
active

The source does not provide a 24-hour change here; no change is inferred.

Before citing the observation

  • Use Refresh observations after the valid-until time; prices are not refreshed in the background.
  • Read the captured venue description below for its stated conditions, then confirm the complete current rules and deadline at the venue. A separate resolution-rules field was not supplied.
  • Identify and independently verify the deciding authority from the complete rules. A captured venue/source URL is only a source link, not proof of that authority; HowSure has not independently verified it.

Keep the observation with its context

This link opens the current page. It is not an immutable archive; its contents can change or become unavailable. The note keeps the question, time, value and content digest from this read.

Preserve the exact question, source time and digest when quoting this observation.

Technical provenance & data boundaries
Serving source
HowSure Neon capture
Market identity
hip4:mainnet:outcome:12892
Observation digest
sha256:15fb2c2c7c7353e4730f8b7d6ddd3dbc8d12b19222595d77e4841d207fd1955e
Read at
2026-10-16 00:31:49.695 UTC

The digest identifies captured content; it does not certify factual accuracy or provide a permanently retrievable version.