Price outcomes / Hyperliquid HIP-4
BTC above 82,202 on 15 Oct 2026, 23:45 UTC?
Contract wording
YES requires the 60-second average (TWAP) of the BTC-USDC perpetual mark price ending at 15 Oct 2026, 23:45 UTC to be strictly above 82,202. If the perpetual is delisted before settlement, its delisting settlement price is used.
Original title: BTC · threshold 82202 · 2026-10-15 23:45 UTC
Archived market · last recorded observation
This market is outside the current HowSure catalog. The price, date and conditions below are retained from an earlier capture; they are not a current quote. Removal from the catalog does not establish closure, settlement or the final outcome.
Last recorded YES price
Market-implied probability. The equivalent YES price in cents is shown in Analysis.
Last recorded at
Stale observation24h change at that captureNot recorded
A recorded market price, not a HowSure forecast or an executable quote. Freshness describes its age, not its accuracy.
Read it in context
No closing time is recorded. The captured lifecycle is “active”; that flag does not establish a deadline or a final outcome.
Venue description is available; separate resolution rules were not supplied. The venue text and deciding authority have not been independently checked by HowSure.
Not supplied: freshness expiry, 24-hour change, 24-hour volume, liquidity, closing time, separate resolution rules field. These gaps are not filled with estimates.
What a market price can tell youMarket conditions & captured source
Venue description
Hyperliquid HIP-4 · mainnet · outcome 12950 · quote USDC. Venue label: template:binaryPrice. perp: BTC priceDescription: BTC-USDC perp mark seconds: 60 threshold: 82202 time: 20261015-2345 Recorded venue metadata. Settlement conditions have not been independently reviewed. A scheduled observation or resolution deadline is not a confirmed settlement. YES and NO share liquidity; only the YES order book is sampled. Midpoint is a quote, not a forecast from HowSure.
Separate resolution rules
No separate resolution-rules field was supplied. The venue description above may contain resolution conditions; verify their complete current wording at the venue.
Open the captured venue/source URL ↗
The HIP-4 link opens the venue application; a contract-specific source URL is not supplied. A source link may be the venue’s market page. It does not prove the deciding authority. Verify the complete rules and that authority independently; HowSure has not verified or adjudicated the outcome.
Recorded metrics & what to check next
- 24h source volume
- Not available
- Source liquidity
- Not available
- Closing time
- Not recorded
- Lifecycle in source
- active
The source does not provide a 24-hour change here; no change is inferred.
Before citing the observation
- Read a newer, timestamped observation before describing the current market price.
- Read the captured venue description below for its stated conditions, then confirm the complete current rules and deadline at the venue. A separate resolution-rules field was not supplied.
- Identify and independently verify the deciding authority from the complete rules. A captured venue/source URL is only a source link, not proof of that authority; HowSure has not independently verified it.
Keep the observation with its context
This page currently shows the last retained observation. It is not an immutable archive; its contents can change or become unavailable. The note keeps the question, time, value and content digest from this read.
Preserve the exact question, source time and digest when quoting this observation.
Technical provenance & data boundaries
- Serving source
- HowSure Neon retained capture
- Market identity
hip4:mainnet:outcome:12950- Observation digest
sha256:ef0433ad96ad5e26bff1085814c039c71f88ea0ccd1b485aa385ec55c435aa2e- Read at
- 2026-10-16 00:31:39.610 UTC
The digest identifies captured content; it does not certify factual accuracy or provide a permanently retrievable version.