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Fed rate decisions

Find your Fed decision.

Choose a meeting, compare its captured outcomes, then open a contract to check the conditions, estimate the cost of your shares and save your research.

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October 2026

5 captured contracts

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Polymarket event

Fed Decision in October?

Dates stated in the contracts October 27–28, 2026

All event outcomes & chart
Captured YES prices for exact contracts. These are market observations, not forecasts or executable quotes.
Outcome / exact questionYES priceObserved · UTCContinue
Decrease 50+ bp

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:31:03.627 UTCConditions & cost : Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Open Analysis: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Decrease 25 bp

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

0.35%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:31:03.627 UTCConditions & cost : Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Open Analysis: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No change

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

70.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:31:03.627 UTCConditions & cost : Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Open Analysis: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Increase 25 bp

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

27.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:31:03.627 UTCConditions & cost : Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Open Analysis: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Increase 50+ bp

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

0.35%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:31:03.627 UTCConditions & cost : Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Open Analysis: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
  • Only recognized contracts in the active HowSure catalog are listed. Event outcome coverage is not established.

Conditions & cost: check the contract, calculate YES / NO for your share size, then save the source-backed reading. Analysis opens the captured history. Following the event and monitoring sources are separate choices.

About this Fed view

Meeting dates here come from recognized contract wording. They are not an independently verified Federal Reserve calendar or confirmation of settlement. The full official source check is available for supported contracts in Analysis.

This is a selection from HowSure’s current catalog. Each venue event remains separate; similarly named outcomes do not establish equivalent rules. Open an event for its full roster and available history. Closed contracts and contracts without confirmed meeting conditions or event identity may not appear here.

Prices describe each recorded observation. They are not executable quotes. Missing values remain missing, and freshness describes the age of a capture rather than its correctness.

Catalog inspected 2026-10-16 01:30:32.047 UTC · 14 candidate records checked. This page refreshes on request.