Price outcomes / Hyperliquid HIP-4
US500 index above 7,880 on 16 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC?
Contract wording
YES requires the 90-second average (TWAP) of the Pyth US500 index price ending at 16 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC to be strictly above 7,880. If the perpetual is delisted before settlement, its delisting settlement price is used.
Original title: xyz:SP500 · threshold 7880 · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC
Captured YES price
Market-implied probability. The equivalent YES price in cents is shown in Analysis.
Observed at
Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 13:06:02.869 UTCReported 24h changeNot recorded
A recorded market price, not a HowSure forecast or an executable quote. Freshness describes its age, not its accuracy.
Read it in context
No closing time is recorded. The captured lifecycle is “active”; that flag does not establish a deadline or a final outcome.
Venue description is available; separate resolution rules were not supplied. The venue text and deciding authority have not been independently checked by HowSure.
Not supplied: 24-hour change, 24-hour volume, liquidity, closing time, separate resolution rules field. These gaps are not filled with estimates.
What a market price can tell youMarket conditions & captured source
Venue description
Hyperliquid HIP-4 · mainnet · outcome 10460 · quote USDC. Venue label: template:binaryPrice. perp: xyz:SP500 priceDescription: the Pyth US500 index price seconds: 90 threshold: 7880 time: 20261016-2000 Recorded venue metadata. Settlement conditions have not been independently reviewed. A scheduled observation or resolution deadline is not a confirmed settlement. YES and NO share liquidity; only the YES order book is sampled. Midpoint is a quote, not a forecast from HowSure.
Separate resolution rules
No separate resolution-rules field was supplied. The venue description above may contain resolution conditions; verify their complete current wording at the venue.
Open the captured venue/source URL ↗
The HIP-4 link opens the venue application; a contract-specific source URL is not supplied. A source link may be the venue’s market page. It does not prove the deciding authority. Verify the complete rules and that authority independently; HowSure has not verified or adjudicated the outcome.
Recorded metrics & what to check next
- 24h source volume
- Not available
- Source liquidity
- Not available
- Closing time
- Not recorded
- Lifecycle in source
- active
The source does not provide a 24-hour change here; no change is inferred.
Before citing the observation
- Use Refresh observations after the valid-until time; prices are not refreshed in the background.
- Read the captured venue description below for its stated conditions, then confirm the complete current rules and deadline at the venue. A separate resolution-rules field was not supplied.
- Identify and independently verify the deciding authority from the complete rules. A captured venue/source URL is only a source link, not proof of that authority; HowSure has not independently verified it.
Keep the observation with its context
This link opens the current page. It is not an immutable archive; its contents can change or become unavailable. The note keeps the question, time, value and content digest from this read.
Preserve the exact question, source time and digest when quoting this observation.
Technical provenance & data boundaries
- Serving source
- HowSure Neon capture
- Market identity
hip4:mainnet:outcome:10460- Observation digest
sha256:6a76b71b7c4225e3a9c047fc0e7c3d1c6b16b032138e5a57e9ac426d01208b27- Read at
- 2026-10-16 13:03:55.916 UTC
The digest identifies captured content; it does not certify factual accuracy or provide a permanently retrievable version.