How Polymarket Fed Markets Resolve: Dates, Rate Definitions and Exceptions
Read a real October 2026 Fed contract: the upper target bound, the named meeting, rounding and the no-statement exception, with sources you can inspect.
HowSure / Guides
Read the contract.
Check the numbers.
Practical guides for prediction-market research. Read Fed, CPI and GDP conditions, calculate order-book costs, and build an agent that returns to a saved analysis. Follow the sources, then try the same task with your market.
Build a Prediction-Market Research Agent with MCP
Connect a local MCP client to HowSure, inspect an exact Fed contract, estimate 500 shares, and reopen a saved version without losing its evidence.
What Do 500 Polymarket Shares Actually Cost?
Calculate gross cost, visible depth and modeled fees from an exact Polymarket book. A dated 500-share Fed example, with a downloadable result and a runnable API request.
CPI Prediction Markets: Read the Measure, Month and Threshold
A practical guide to core versus headline CPI, monthly versus annual changes, Table A and release versions, using an exact September 2026 Polymarket contract.
GDP Prediction Markets: First Estimates, Delayed Releases and Revisions
Work through a real Q4 2025 GDP contract: the 1.4% Advance estimate, a postponed release, the later 0.5% revision and exact bracket boundaries.
When Should an AI Agent Recheck a Saved Market Analysis?
Reopen an exact HowSure version after restart, compare its evidence, and separate changed facts, cached reads, missing sources and corrections to the earlier answer.
How these guides are made
Published by HowSure, with AI assistance in drafting and verification. Examples are checked against the linked sources and working product interfaces. Each guide distinguishes contract wording, a source observation and an interpretation. This is product documentation, not independent certification or a forecast.
Prices are dated examples, never a live quote. When an example or instruction changes materially, its update date and explanation change too. Historical Checks keep their original version. If a result differs, retain its exact ID, time and error before comparing.
For definitions and limits, use the reading guide. For interfaces, versions and recovery steps, use the API reference.