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Crypto / Polymarket

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

Open analysis This exact market · latest available observation

Captured YES price

1.3%

Market-implied probability. The equivalent YES price in cents is shown in Analysis.

Observed at

Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-28 15:58:39.833 UTC

Reported 24h change−1.1 percentage points

Updates on request

A recorded market price, not a HowSure forecast or an executable quote. Freshness describes its age, not its accuracy.

Read it in context

The recorded closing time is 2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC. The captured lifecycle is “active”. Closing time and lifecycle alone do not establish final settlement.

Venue description is available; separate resolution rules were not supplied. The venue text and deciding authority have not been independently checked by HowSure.

Not supplied: separate resolution rules field. These gaps are not filled with estimates.

What a market price can tell you
Market conditions & captured source

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Separate resolution rules

No separate resolution-rules field was supplied. The venue description above may contain resolution conditions; verify their complete current wording at the venue.

Open the captured venue/source URL ↗

A source link may be the venue’s market page. It does not prove the deciding authority. Verify the complete rules and that authority independently; HowSure has not verified or adjudicated the outcome.

Recorded metrics & what to check next
24h source volume
$37,257
Source liquidity
$103,091
Closing time
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Lifecycle in source
active

The source records a 24-hour change of −1.1 percentage points. This is an absolute probability-point change, not a relative percentage return or an explanation of why the price moved.

Before citing the observation

  • Use Refresh observations after the valid-until time; prices are not refreshed in the background.
  • Read the captured venue description below for its stated conditions, then confirm the complete current rules and deadline at the venue. A separate resolution-rules field was not supplied.
  • Identify and independently verify the deciding authority from the complete rules. A captured venue/source URL is only a source link, not proof of that authority; HowSure has not independently verified it.

Keep the observation with its context

This link opens the current page. It is not an immutable archive; its contents can change or become unavailable. The note keeps the question, time, value and content digest from this read.

Preserve the exact question, source time and digest when quoting this observation.

Technical provenance & data boundaries
Serving source
HowSure Neon capture
Market identity
polymarket:condition-sha256:3e9cccd8c2f29b63bcbce2acc8df9557be32ecc17c0a3b5de8f738df873a995f
Observation digest
sha256:cdc517a728b8f85b26750901d46a11133c262866187e7b8696058d64cc009ed1
Read at
2026-10-28 15:57:44.225 UTC

The digest identifies captured content; it does not certify factual accuracy or provide a permanently retrievable version.