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Crypto / Polymarket

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Open analysis This exact market · latest available observation

Captured YES price

2.95%

Market-implied probability. The equivalent YES price in cents is shown in Analysis.

Observed at

Stale observationWindow ended 2026-10-16 20:53:41.716 UTC

Reported 24h changeNot recorded

Updates on request

A recorded market price, not a HowSure forecast or an executable quote. Freshness describes its age, not its accuracy.

Read it in context

The recorded closing time is 2027-01-01 05:00:00 UTC. The captured lifecycle is “active”. Closing time and lifecycle alone do not establish final settlement.

Venue description is available; separate resolution rules were not supplied. The venue text and deciding authority have not been independently checked by HowSure.

Not supplied: 24-hour change, separate resolution rules field. These gaps are not filled with estimates.

What a market price can tell you
Market conditions & captured source

Venue description

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Separate resolution rules

No separate resolution-rules field was supplied. The venue description above may contain resolution conditions; verify their complete current wording at the venue.

Open the captured venue/source URL ↗

A source link may be the venue’s market page. It does not prove the deciding authority. Verify the complete rules and that authority independently; HowSure has not verified or adjudicated the outcome.

Recorded metrics & what to check next
24h source volume
$2,432
Source liquidity
$101,635
Closing time
2027-01-01 05:00:00 UTC
Lifecycle in source
active

The source does not provide a 24-hour change here; no change is inferred.

Before citing the observation

  • Read a newer, timestamped observation before describing the current market price.
  • Read the captured venue description below for its stated conditions, then confirm the complete current rules and deadline at the venue. A separate resolution-rules field was not supplied.
  • Identify and independently verify the deciding authority from the complete rules. A captured venue/source URL is only a source link, not proof of that authority; HowSure has not independently verified it.

Keep the observation with its context

This link opens the current page. It is not an immutable archive; its contents can change or become unavailable. The note keeps the question, time, value and content digest from this read.

Preserve the exact question, source time and digest when quoting this observation.

Technical provenance & data boundaries
Serving source
HowSure Neon capture
Market identity
polymarket:condition-sha256:55289feabe7a48a7aa1f43d20fcf5a010d6a8f40aa9a4619206b614bfedacc87
Observation digest
sha256:ef14db2c34d22ba8d2247211bb86e3fca021d842b770aed32de7845b6882e87f
Read at
2026-10-16 21:35:06.628 UTC

The digest identifies captured content; it does not certify factual accuracy or provide a permanently retrievable version.