Finance / Polymarket

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?

Open analysis This exact market · retained observation

Archived market · last recorded observation

This market is outside the current HowSure catalog. The price, date and conditions below are retained from an earlier capture; they are not a current quote. Removal from the catalog does not establish closure, settlement or the final outcome.

Last recorded YES price

0.6%

Market-implied probability. The equivalent YES price in cents is shown in Analysis.

Last recorded at2026-10-20 15:37:03.927 UTC

Stale observation

24h change at that capture+0.25 percentage points

A recorded market price, not a HowSure forecast or an executable quote. Freshness describes its age, not its accuracy.

Read it in context

The recorded closing time is 2026-11-01 03:59:59.999 UTC. The captured lifecycle is “active”. Closing time and lifecycle alone do not establish final settlement.

Venue description is available; separate resolution rules were not supplied. The venue text and deciding authority have not been independently checked by HowSure.

Not supplied: freshness expiry, separate resolution rules field. These gaps are not filled with estimates.

What a market price can tell you

Market conditions & captured source

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Separate resolution rules

No separate resolution-rules field was supplied. The venue description above may contain resolution conditions; verify their complete current wording at the venue.

Open the captured venue/source URL ↗

A source link may be the venue’s market page. It does not prove the deciding authority. Verify the complete rules and that authority independently; HowSure has not verified or adjudicated the outcome.

Recorded metrics & what to check next

24h source volume: $11,041
Source liquidity: $104,879
Closing time: 2026-11-01 03:59:59.999 UTC
Lifecycle in source: active

The source records a 24-hour change of +0.25 percentage points. This is an absolute probability-point change, not a relative percentage return or an explanation of why the price moved.

Before citing the observation

Read a newer, timestamped observation before describing the current market price.
Read the captured venue description below for its stated conditions, then confirm the complete current rules and deadline at the venue. A separate resolution-rules field was not supplied.
Identify and independently verify the deciding authority from the complete rules. A captured venue/source URL is only a source link, not proof of that authority; HowSure has not independently verified it.

Keep the observation with its context

This page currently shows the last retained observation. It is not an immutable archive; its contents can change or become unavailable. The note keeps the question, time, value and content digest from this read.

Observation note · selectable text

HowSure observation: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?
Venue: Polymarket. Captured Yes price: 0.6%. Recorded 24h change: +0.25 percentage points.
Source observed at: 2026-10-20T15:37:03.927Z. Valid until: not recorded.
Read at: 2026-10-20T16:30:20.326Z. This is the last recorded observation from an archived market outside the current catalog. It is stale, not a current quote.
Observation content digest: sha256:3a623f43e63ae3b2d7ff783d5345538397aa9d83d83bf9512158eb1672e6a4cb.
Last-recorded observation page: https://www.howsure.com/explore/polymarket-6c23fa9e044bf107b5b81d6189c2335fcd65049d6d3e45870e2c73e5ece1e9cb
This URL is not an immutable archival citation. Its content may change with later captures or become unavailable. Retain the quoted observation time and digest; the digest identifies content, not factual correctness.

Preserve the exact question, source time and digest when quoting this observation.

Technical provenance & data boundaries

Serving source: HowSure Neon retained capture
Market identity: polymarket:condition-sha256:6c23fa9e044bf107b5b81d6189c2335fcd65049d6d3e45870e2c73e5ece1e9cb
Observation digest: sha256:3a623f43e63ae3b2d7ff783d5345538397aa9d83d83bf9512158eb1672e6a4cb
Read at: 2026-10-20 16:30:20.326 UTC

The digest identifies captured content; it does not certify factual accuracy or provide a permanently retrievable version.

Back to directory

Other captured markets in this category. Shared subject matter does not imply the same outcome.

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Recorded YES 9.5%2026-10-20 16:30:14.228 UTC
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Recorded YES 4.5%2026-10-20 16:30:13.738 UTC
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Recorded YES 0.25%2026-10-20 16:30:13.857 UTC
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recorded YES 96.85%2026-10-20 16:30:13.255 UTC