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Finance / Polymarket

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Open analysis This exact market · latest available observation

Captured YES price

7%

Market-implied probability. The equivalent YES price in cents is shown in Analysis.

Observed at

Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 16:59:41.318 UTC

Reported 24h change+0.5 percentage points

Updates on request

A recorded market price, not a HowSure forecast or an executable quote. Freshness describes its age, not its accuracy.

Read it in context

The recorded closing time is 2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC. The captured lifecycle is “active”. Closing time and lifecycle alone do not establish final settlement.

Venue description is available; separate resolution rules were not supplied. The venue text and deciding authority have not been independently checked by HowSure.

Not supplied: separate resolution rules field. These gaps are not filled with estimates.

What a market price can tell you
Market conditions & captured source

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Separate resolution rules

No separate resolution-rules field was supplied. The venue description above may contain resolution conditions; verify their complete current wording at the venue.

Open the captured venue/source URL ↗

A source link may be the venue’s market page. It does not prove the deciding authority. Verify the complete rules and that authority independently; HowSure has not verified or adjudicated the outcome.

Recorded metrics & what to check next
24h source volume
$3,552
Source liquidity
$101,691
Closing time
2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Lifecycle in source
active

The source records a 24-hour change of +0.5 percentage points. This is an absolute probability-point change, not a relative percentage return or an explanation of why the price moved.

Before citing the observation

  • Use Refresh observations after the valid-until time; prices are not refreshed in the background.
  • Read the captured venue description below for its stated conditions, then confirm the complete current rules and deadline at the venue. A separate resolution-rules field was not supplied.
  • Identify and independently verify the deciding authority from the complete rules. A captured venue/source URL is only a source link, not proof of that authority; HowSure has not independently verified it.

Keep the observation with its context

This link opens the current page. It is not an immutable archive; its contents can change or become unavailable. The note keeps the question, time, value and content digest from this read.

Preserve the exact question, source time and digest when quoting this observation.

Technical provenance & data boundaries
Serving source
HowSure Neon capture
Market identity
polymarket:condition-sha256:a8c15ac0bfaa86da9dece6aece34e5b3ff46033a3d594662b4ab5a4aa13711cf
Observation digest
sha256:71a4b909a6c5ba0559e060009b54deb2853aed7da86ded32dd1b2899f4b50023
Read at
2026-10-16 16:59:02.283 UTC

The digest identifies captured content; it does not certify factual accuracy or provide a permanently retrievable version.