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Crypto / Polymarket

Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B fully diluted valuation?

Contract wording

FDV means fully diluted valuation. The threshold, valuation timing, supply basis and launch requirements remain those in the venue description below.

Original title: Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?

Open analysis This exact market · latest available observation

Captured YES price

3.9%

Market-implied probability. The equivalent YES price in cents is shown in Analysis.

Observed at

Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-24 08:45:07.447 UTC

Reported 24h change+0.75 percentage points

Updates on request

A recorded market price, not a HowSure forecast or an executable quote. Freshness describes its age, not its accuracy.

Read it in context

The recorded closing time is 2026-12-26 04:59:00 UTC. The captured lifecycle is “active”. Closing time and lifecycle alone do not establish final settlement.

Venue description is available; separate resolution rules were not supplied. The venue text and deciding authority have not been independently checked by HowSure.

Not supplied: separate resolution rules field. These gaps are not filled with estimates.

What a market price can tell you
Market conditions & captured source

Venue description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cash Cat (CASHCAT) is the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Fully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as "Fully Diluted Valuation" on CoinGecko and as "FDV" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used. The coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are: - Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat - Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/ - The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull - NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet A coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. If two or more coins first reach the threshold within the same minute, the coin with the higher fully diluted valuation at that minute will be treated as first. A momentary crossing qualifies, provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting. Each coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for. If no coin listed above reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" and the "None" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.

Separate resolution rules

No separate resolution-rules field was supplied. The venue description above may contain resolution conditions; verify their complete current wording at the venue.

Open the captured venue/source URL ↗

A source link may be the venue’s market page. It does not prove the deciding authority. Verify the complete rules and that authority independently; HowSure has not verified or adjudicated the outcome.

Recorded metrics & what to check next
24h source volume
$7,556
Source liquidity
$103,350
Closing time
2026-12-26 04:59:00 UTC
Lifecycle in source
active

The source records a 24-hour change of +0.75 percentage points. This is an absolute probability-point change, not a relative percentage return or an explanation of why the price moved.

Before citing the observation

  • Use Refresh observations after the valid-until time; prices are not refreshed in the background.
  • Read the captured venue description below for its stated conditions, then confirm the complete current rules and deadline at the venue. A separate resolution-rules field was not supplied.
  • Identify and independently verify the deciding authority from the complete rules. A captured venue/source URL is only a source link, not proof of that authority; HowSure has not independently verified it.

Keep the observation with its context

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Technical provenance & data boundaries
Serving source
HowSure Neon capture
Market identity
polymarket:condition-sha256:c31929908b2f4af2cb7fbd01223e1c2f8b0332f660fe7a2a3322d321e7bf80ed
Observation digest
sha256:5160ab44f8d76dd8762f4954f2adaff6066bba85f79c5d412763dabb985e258f
Read at
2026-10-24 08:44:15.831 UTC

The digest identifies captured content; it does not certify factual accuracy or provide a permanently retrievable version.