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Politics
prediction markets.

This is a captured selection, not the entire venue. Prices are observations — not forecasts, recommendations, or executable quotes.

184 active markets in this category. Ordered by stable market identity, not popularity or conviction.

Read the freshness labels ↗
Captured venue observations. Probabilities are market prices, not HowSure forecasts.
Question / sourceYes priceObservedFreshness
Politics · PolymarketWill Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?4.1%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?1.75%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?38.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4.9%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?20.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?29.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?13.85%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC
Politics · PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?34.95%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 07:05:04.116 UTC

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