Geopolitics / Polymarket / YES outcome

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Latest snapshot

Fresh observation

2.85%YES

Venue 24h—

Spread0.1¢

24h volume$69.3K

Liquidity$546.6K

Price observedOct 16, 2026, 15:56:36 UTC

24H observed: 0 pp1 internal gap · endpoint change
Observed low / high: 2.85% / 2.95%

UTC · gaps shaded

About chart data

1436 observations in the displayed window · 1 gap longer than 2 minutes.

Window: 2026-10-15 15:57:31.516 UTC – 2026-10-16 15:57:31.516 UTC.

Shading marks missing observations. Missing intervals are not reconstructed or connected.

Recorded span in the selected period: 23h 59m.

Loaded endpoints: 2026-10-15 15:57:54–2026-10-16 15:56:36 UTC. The move is measured in probability points (pp). This may cover less than the selected period; the reported 24h figure is separate venue data. Price movement does not establish its cause.

Your research

Understand this contract

Venue description · excerpt

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if…

What to check next

Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.

No applicable independent source review in this snapshot.

More open questions 2

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Venue reference fields · not independent confirmations

Venue reference	Role	Review state	Source captured
01 Venue market page Polymarket	Venue context	Unchecked here	Not supplied

Venue references are not independent confirmations. Publication time, source capture time and content version are not supplied.

How to read these observations

Midpoint = (best bid + best ask) / 2, not an executed trade. Headline and chart prices are percentages; order book prices are cents.
History contains at most one observation per minute, up to 7 days. Intermediate moves and missing intervals can be absent.
Candles summarize observed midpoints, not exchange trades.
Liquidity and reported 24h changes come from venue metadata. They do not explain a price move.
Price observations alone do not establish news, independent verification or final settlement. Any source review is limited to its listed claims.

Updates

This contract

0 highlights in selected range · UTC

Price range ≥ 0.5 pp within 5 min · sources

No qualifying updates in this range.

No recorded price range reached 0.5 pp within 5 min, and no qualifying source or trade updates are available. Smaller recorded moves remain in All.

Data coverage1 gap · 4m 21.942s

Intervals longer than two minutes without a recorded midpoint. Select a gap to inspect its exact endpoints.

Oct 16, 2026

About this feed

Highlights group recorded midpoints into five-minute windows and show a price range of at least 0.5 percentage points. Smaller moves remain in All. Missing intervals are never joined.

Source releases use the source’s printed release time. Source reviews use the time HowSure recorded a review. Neither establishes why a price moved.

This market

Venue: Polymarket
Selected outcome: YES
Scheduled end: Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC
Price observed: Oct 16, 2026, 15:56:36 UTC

Current catalog context. Historical selections retain their recorded price only.

Contract & capture identifiers

polymarket:condition-sha256:28a2f584eca429c7267e691b8f90775174a248526107cbb444f293c6b154d445

Snapshot checked Oct 16, 2026, 15:57:31 UTC

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