Source review · claim by claim
Texas data centers: a directed pause is not statutory enactment
The Texas Governor’s August 6 release describes a pause in pending grid-interconnection requests until audits finish. The retained contract excludes executive and agency measures: a qualifying statute or constitutional provision must be enacted.
Reviewed · fixed review version
This review supports only the claims below. It is not a forecast, confirmation of final settlement, or explanation of a price move.
What the sources establish
- Supported claimExternal source
The Governor’s August 6 release says PUCT and ERCOT were directed to pause pending data-center interconnection requests until each project completes its audit.
The source describes a directive. It is not an enrolled bill, enactment record or constitutional amendment.
- Supported claimContract terms
The retained contract excludes executive and agency measures, even when they have legal force.
A headline about a pause therefore does not by itself prove the required statutory or constitutional enactment.
- Open questionExternal source
This review has not established enactment of a qualifying statewide law.
No complete bill-history search or qualifying enacted text was verified; absence of that verification is not proof that none exists.
No supporting source recorded
Read the contract this way
- YES condition
- Texas enacts a statutory or constitutional, mandatory statewide moratorium by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, covering all new data centers or a subset including all new facilities above 100 MW, subject to the full retained exceptions.Source 1
- NO condition
- No measure meeting all retained enactment and coverage requirements occurs within the window. Local moratoria, incentive suspensions and non-statutory executive or agency measures alone do not qualify.Source 1
Inspect the evidence
Open a source to inspect its retained excerpt and capture time. Linked pages may change after the review.
01Retained Polymarket contract descriptionPolymarket via HowSure catalogue · Venue contractAccessed
Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force.
Retained /api/workspace generation 6880, observation 2026-10-10T20:10:47.210Z; exact contract description. No direct venue re-read in this review.
Read original source- Published
- Not supplied
- Accessed
Retained excerpt fingerprint
544a485ecd943716eef495d43b4c63dcaa2ea23247a29628509d01e5a16eccb6SHA-256 identifies this retained excerpt, not the full source page or its accuracy.
02Governor Abbott Announces QTS Data Centers Will Meet Texas StandardsOffice of the Texas Governor · Primary sourceAccessed
pause all pending data center interconnection requests until each project undergoes and successfully completes ERCOT's comprehensive audit.
Paragraph beginning Building on those standards, after five statewide standards.
Read original source- Published
- August 6, 2026; displayed publication date
- Accessed
Retained excerpt fingerprint
eea4f9df9dcc833dcb54e62efe33914c4f7919c9fac8301e943ad3cf1d64d363SHA-256 identifies this retained excerpt, not the full source page or its accuracy.
Still unknown
- The August directive is a specific primary-source fact, not a comprehensive audit of Texas law.
- No qualifying bill number, statewide legislative vote or future enactment date was established.
- Whether any specific later measure meets all exceptions requires reading its operative enacted text; this review does not make that determination.
- Venue conditions are the exact retained catalogue text; the live venue page was not re-read.
- This review does not estimate fair probability, explain a price move, or confirm final settlement.
What to check next
Dates & settlement context
No source-confirmed event date was retained for this capture. Source publication and access times are not event dates.
- Venue scheduled end
- 2028-01-01 04:59:00 UTC · after captureVenue metadata only. This timestamp does not confirm the event deadline, an outcome or final settlement.
- Review checkpoint
- No review time scheduled.A suggested research action, not a scheduled review or reminder.
- Settlement
- Not established.No final settlement time or outcome is established by these dates or by this review.
Timing and next check · retained review text
The enactment date controls, not the effective date. Check an identified bill’s final enacted text and official history when it advances; this review establishes no date for a qualifying bill.
Polymarket via HowSure catalogue- When a candidate measure appears, obtain its Texas Legislature bill history and final enrolled or enacted text, then identify the legal enactment mechanism and date.
- Check mandatory statewide scope and the above-100-MW subset against the full retained conditions; do not count a press release, local policy or tax-incentive pause alone.
Exact contract context retained with this review
- Market
- Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
- Contract ID
polymarket:condition-sha256:6c717b10a395e50602a6917516339e7de2eaf7ce6a2b516ce2463340030ec35f- Scheduled end metadata
- 2028-01-01 04:59:00 UTC · not a settlement determination
- Declared resolution source
- Not supplied
- Venue description
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Texas enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies. Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment. Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify. The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings. This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment. The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Separate resolution rules
- Not supplied