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Fetching the current catalog, book and recorded price history.
Fetching the current catalog, book and recorded price history.
1436 observations in the displayed window · 2 gaps longer than 2 minutes.
Window: 2026-10-15 01:33:28.765 UTC – 2026-10-16 01:33:28.765 UTC.
Shading marks missing observations. Missing intervals are not reconstructed or connected.
Recorded span in the selected period: 23h 59m.
Loaded endpoints: 2026-10-15 01:33:50–2026-10-16 01:33:10 UTC. The move is measured in probability points (pp). This may cover less than the selected period; the reported 24h figure is separate venue data. Price movement does not establish its cause.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bul…
Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
No applicable independent source review in this snapshot.Separate current read of this exact contract; it does not change the displayed snapshot.
| Venue reference | Role | Review state | Source captured |
|---|---|---|---|
01 Venue market page Polymarket | Venue context | Unchecked here | Not supplied |
02 Declared resolution source https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730 | Resolution | Unchecked here | Not supplied |