Loading market observations
Fetching the current catalog, book and recorded price history.
Fetching the current catalog, book and recorded price history.
129 observations in the displayed window · 0 gaps longer than 2 minutes.
Window: 2026-10-16 16:53:50.095 UTC – 2026-10-16 19:01:18.009 UTC.
Selected period: 2026-10-15 19:01:18.009 UTC – 2026-10-16 19:01:18.009 UTC. No observations are available before 2026-10-16 16:53:50.095 UTC in this period. The initial view fits the available observations; internal and trailing gaps remain visible.
Shading marks missing observations. Missing intervals are not reconstructed or connected.
Recorded span in the selected period: 2h 7m.
Loaded endpoints: 2026-10-16 16:53:50–19:01:12 UTC. The move is measured in probability points (pp). This may cover less than the selected period; the reported 24h figure is separate venue data. Price movement does not establish its cause.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF…
Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
No applicable independent source review in this snapshot.Separate current read of this exact contract; it does not change the displayed snapshot.
| Venue reference | Role | Review state | Source captured |
|---|---|---|---|
01 Venue market page Polymarket | Venue context | Unchecked here | Not supplied |
02 Declared resolution source https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c | Resolution | Unchecked here | Not supplied |