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Politics
prediction markets.

This is a captured selection, not the entire venue. Prices are observations — not forecasts, recommendations, or executable quotes.

178 active markets in this category. Ordered by stable market identity, not popularity or conviction.

Read the freshness labels ↗
Captured venue observations. Probabilities are market prices, not HowSure forecasts.
Question / sourceYes priceObservedFreshness
Politics · PolymarketWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?0.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?9.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?25.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?50.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?12.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?73.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?4.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2.2%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?0.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?5.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?7.85%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.4%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?15.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?16.6%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?90.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1.9%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?4.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?0.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79.85%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?5.7%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?5.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 00:32:39.948 UTC

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