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Politics
prediction markets.

This is a captured selection, not the entire venue. Prices are observations — not forecasts, recommendations, or executable quotes.

187 active markets in this category. Ordered by stable market identity, not popularity or conviction.

Read the freshness labels ↗
Captured venue observations. Probabilities are market prices, not HowSure forecasts.
Question / sourceYes priceObservedFreshness
Politics · PolymarketWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?3.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?0.75%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be no Hormuz agreement?96.2%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?62.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?0.85%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?23.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?11.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?37%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?0.25%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?3.1%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.25%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?26%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?36.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?1.95%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?49.05%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5.8%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?3.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?11%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 01:43:04.010 UTC

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