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Politics
prediction markets.

This is a captured selection, not the entire venue. Prices are observations — not forecasts, recommendations, or executable quotes.

190 active markets in this category. Ordered by stable market identity, not popularity or conviction.

Read the freshness labels ↗
Captured venue observations. Probabilities are market prices, not HowSure forecasts.
Question / sourceYes priceObservedFreshness
Politics · PolymarketWill there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?3.6%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?11%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?37.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.35%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?2.55%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2.75%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.4%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?76.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1.2%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?81.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?21.05%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?27.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be no Hormuz agreement?94.3%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?4.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · Polymarket2026 US Congress: Democratic Senate, Republican House0.95%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?1.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?0.25%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.25%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?6.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC
Politics · PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?14.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 02:32:03.928 UTC

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