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Politics
prediction markets.

This is a captured selection, not the entire venue. Prices are observations — not forecasts, recommendations, or executable quotes.

185 active markets in this category. Ordered by stable market identity, not popularity or conviction.

Read the freshness labels ↗
Captured venue observations. Probabilities are market prices, not HowSure forecasts.
Question / sourceYes priceObservedFreshness
Politics · PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?9.05%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.55%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?51%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?6.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketNetanyahu out by end of 2026?39.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?7.95%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?76.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?2.25%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?14.05%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?78.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?19.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?11.75%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?1.05%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?3.85%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?2.85%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2.05%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · Polymarket2026 US Congress: other balance of power0.15%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.65%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.95%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?41.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?2.95%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?4.4%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?60.6%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?1.75%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC
Politics · PolymarketWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?44.5%Within freshness windowValid until 2026-10-16 05:03:04.051 UTC

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