Archived observation · not liveOutside the current captured catalog. Price, volume and metadata were last recorded Oct 16, 2026, 01:32 UTC. No current book is available; this does not establish that the market closed or resolved.
Archived observation
Not live
4.5%YES
Venue 24h—
Spread—
24h volume$22.4K
Liquidity$100.8K
Price observed
YES midpoint · %
23h 58m observed
0 pp6 internal gaps · endpoint change
Observed low / high
4.5% / 4.5%
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UTC · gaps shadedAbout chart data
1307 observations in the displayed window · 7 gaps longer than 2 minutes.
Window: 2026-10-15 01:34:43.273 UTC – 2026-10-16 01:34:43.273 UTC.
Shading marks missing observations. Missing intervals are not reconstructed or connected.
Recorded span in the selected period: 23h 58m.
Loaded endpoints: 2026-10-15 01:34:51–2026-10-16 01:32:34 UTC. The move is measured in probability points (pp). This may cover less than the selected period; the reported 24h figure is separate venue data. Price movement does not establish its cause.
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Venue description · excerpt
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF…
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