Loading market observations
Fetching the current catalog, book and recorded price history.
Fetching the current catalog, book and recorded price history.
36 observations in the displayed window · 2 gaps longer than 2 minutes.
Window: 2026-10-17 18:18:44.776 UTC – 2026-10-17 20:49:05.668 UTC.
Selected period: 2026-10-16 20:49:05.668 UTC – 2026-10-17 20:49:05.668 UTC. No observations are available before 2026-10-17 18:18:44.776 UTC in this period. The initial view fits the available observations; internal and trailing gaps remain visible.
Shading marks missing observations. Missing intervals are not reconstructed or connected.
Recorded span in the selected period: 1h 6m.
Loaded endpoints: 2026-10-17 18:18:44–19:25:06 UTC. The move is measured in probability points (pp). This may cover less than the selected period; the reported 24h figure is separate venue data. Price movement does not establish its cause.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at ht…
Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
No applicable independent source review in this snapshot.Separate current read of this exact contract; it does not change the displayed snapshot.
| Venue reference | Role | Review state | Source captured |
|---|---|---|---|
01 Venue market page Polymarket | Venue context | Unchecked here | Not supplied |
02 Declared resolution source https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control | Resolution | Unchecked here | Not supplied |