Archived observation · not liveOutside the current captured catalog. Price, volume and metadata were last recorded Oct 16, 2026, 00:56 UTC. No current book is available; this does not establish that the market closed or resolved.
Archived observation
Not live
31%YES
Venue 24h−0.5 pp
Spread—
24h volume$6.2K
Liquidity$111.6K
Price observed
YES midpoint · %
21h 47m observed
−0.5 pp13 internal gaps · endpoint change
Observed low / high
30% / 32.5%
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UTC · gaps shadedAbout chart data
890 observations in the displayed window · 15 gaps longer than 2 minutes.
Window: 2026-10-15 01:32:38.416 UTC – 2026-10-16 01:32:38.416 UTC.
Shading marks missing observations. Missing intervals are not reconstructed or connected.
Recorded span in the selected period: 21h 47m.
Loaded endpoints: 2026-10-15 03:08:55–2026-10-16 00:56:11 UTC. The move is measured in probability points (pp). This may cover less than the selected period; the reported 24h figure is separate venue data. Price movement does not establish its cause.
Your research
Understand this contract
Venue description · excerpt
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United Stat…
What to check next
Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
No applicable independent source review in this snapshot.More open questions 3
Identify the resolution authority named in the contract conditions.
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