Loading market observations
Fetching the current catalog, book and recorded price history.
Fetching the current catalog, book and recorded price history.
616 observations in the displayed window · 1 gap longer than 2 minutes.
Window: 2026-10-15 17:56:44.014 UTC – 2026-10-16 04:14:26.863 UTC.
Selected period: 2026-10-15 04:14:26.863 UTC – 2026-10-16 04:14:26.863 UTC. No observations are available before 2026-10-15 17:56:44.014 UTC in this period. The initial view fits the available observations; internal and trailing gaps remain visible.
Shading marks missing observations. Missing intervals are not reconstructed or connected.
Recorded span in the selected period: 10h 17m.
Loaded endpoints: 2026-10-15 17:56:44–2026-10-16 04:14:04 UTC. The move is measured in probability points (pp). This may cover less than the selected period; the reported 24h figure is separate venue data. Price movement does not establish its cause.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory in Crimea between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Crimea is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/3…
Confirm the complete contract conditions on the venue; only its description is retained here.
No applicable independent source review in this snapshot.Separate current read of this exact contract; it does not change the displayed snapshot.
| Venue reference | Role | Review state | Source captured |
|---|---|---|---|
01 Venue market page Polymarket | Venue context | Unchecked here | Not supplied |
02 Declared resolution source https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375 | Resolution | Unchecked here | Not supplied |